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icon for Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

icon for Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?

$397,244 Vol.

7 ago 2026
Polymarket

$397,244 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for July 31

July 31

$7,875 Vol.

1%

icon for August 7

August 7

$195 Vol.

60%

icon for 31 de dezembro

31 de dezembro

$67,928 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gustavo Petro’s term as Colombia’s president concludes on August 7, 2026, when president-elect Abelardo de la Espriella is scheduled for inauguration following the June runoff. Petro, constitutionally barred from seeking re-election, endorsed Iván Cepeda, who lost the closely contested vote amid allegations of fraud that Petro later withdrew. Recent developments include Petro’s calls for supporters to defend his social and economic reforms during Independence Day remarks, alongside temporary tensions in the transition process after the incoming administration paused handover steps. Approval ratings recovered to near 50 percent in early 2026 before the electoral defeat, reflecting mixed public sentiment on policy outcomes and institutional disputes. No active impeachment proceedings or removal mechanisms have advanced in the final weeks, leaving the scheduled transfer of power as the dominant driver of any market assessing an early exit. Upcoming events center on the August 7 inauguration and any lingering legal or political challenges to the results.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$397,244
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gustavo Petro’s term as Colombia’s president concludes on August 7, 2026, when president-elect Abelardo de la Espriella is scheduled for inauguration following the June runoff. Petro, constitutionally barred from seeking re-election, endorsed Iván Cepeda, who lost the closely contested vote amid allegations of fraud that Petro later withdrew. Recent developments include Petro’s calls for supporters to defend his social and economic reforms during Independence Day remarks, alongside temporary tensions in the transition process after the incoming administration paused handover steps. Approval ratings recovered to near 50 percent in early 2026 before the electoral defeat, reflecting mixed public sentiment on policy outcomes and institutional disputes. No active impeachment proceedings or removal mechanisms have advanced in the final weeks, leaving the scheduled transfer of power as the dominant driver of any market assessing an early exit. Upcoming events center on the August 7 inauguration and any lingering legal or political challenges to the results.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$397,244
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 100%, followed by "August 7" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" has generated $397.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 7" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Gustavo Petro sai como líder da Colômbia por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.