Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 22 tweets daily in mid-August 2026, anchors trader expectations for the three-day window. Activity has centered on Grok AI updates, benchmark wins, and brief replies rather than extended threads, keeping volume in check. With the period spanning a Monday-to-Wednesday stretch and no major product launches or controversies surfacing, markets price the <40 bracket as the clearest outcome while assigning meaningful weight to 40-64. The final day’s output will decide whether totals stay suppressed or climb toward the middle bucket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<40 60%
40-64 38%
65-89 3.5%
90-114 <1%
$75,916 Vol.
$75,916 Vol.
<40
60%
40-64
38%
65-89
3%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 60%
40-64 38%
65-89 3.5%
90-114 <1%
$75,916 Vol.
$75,916 Vol.
<40
60%
40-64
38%
65-89
3%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace on X, averaging roughly 22 tweets daily in mid-August 2026, anchors trader expectations for the three-day window. Activity has centered on Grok AI updates, benchmark wins, and brief replies rather than extended threads, keeping volume in check. With the period spanning a Monday-to-Wednesday stretch and no major product launches or controversies surfacing, markets price the <40 bracket as the clearest outcome while assigning meaningful weight to 40-64. The final day’s output will decide whether totals stay suppressed or climb toward the middle bucket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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