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icon for Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

icon for Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Outro (temporada cancelada) 79%

Doug Mason 14.1%

Michael Baba 1.0%

Johnnie LaRossa 1.0%

Polymarket

$2,456,359 Vol.

Outro (temporada cancelada) 79%

Doug Mason 14.1%

Michael Baba 1.0%

Johnnie LaRossa 1.0%

Polymarket

$2,456,359 Vol.

Outro (temporada cancelada)

$5,151 Vol.

79%

Doug Mason

$19,975 Vol.

14%

Michael Baba

$30,751 Vol.

1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$8,804 Vol.

1%

Casey Hux

$15,596 Vol.

1%

Matt Carroll

$2,535 Vol.

1%

Rod Strozier

$3,274 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$13,869 Vol.

1%

Shane Parton

$50,224 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$22,224 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$2,471 Vol.

1%

Mike Turitto

$4,610 Vol.

<1%

Brad Ledford

$3,159 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Perce

$15,268 Vol.

<1%

Conrad Ukropina

$40,501 Vol.

<1%

Richard Van De Water

$1,976,005 Vol.

<1%

Clayton Johnson

$5,386 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Richardson

$2,214 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Wood

$2,461 Vol.

<1%

Trenten Merrill

$7,280 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Montero

$3,679 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Kahng

$88,354 Vol.

<1%

Lew Evans

$132,571 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.The abrupt cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s season in March 2026, just days before its planned March 22 premiere, has overwhelmingly shaped trader sentiment, driving the 78% implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” ABC and Disney pulled the already-filmed season after a 2023 video surfaced showing the “Secret Lives of Mormon Wives” star in a physical altercation, prompting immediate network statements prioritizing family support over broadcast. This decisive action, coupled with the absence of any subsequent revival or rescheduling through August 2026, has solidified market consensus around non-airing. Doug Mason’s 14.3% share reflects lingering spoiler reports naming him the reported winner and engagement recipient, yet even these have faded amid confirmed post-filming breakup details and the season’s permanent shelving. Remaining contestants trade below 2% as the franchise shifts focus away from the unbroadcast cycle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,456,359
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.The abrupt cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s season in March 2026, just days before its planned March 22 premiere, has overwhelmingly shaped trader sentiment, driving the 78% implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled).” ABC and Disney pulled the already-filmed season after a 2023 video surfaced showing the “Secret Lives of Mormon Wives” star in a physical altercation, prompting immediate network statements prioritizing family support over broadcast. This decisive action, coupled with the absence of any subsequent revival or rescheduling through August 2026, has solidified market consensus around non-airing. Doug Mason’s 14.3% share reflects lingering spoiler reports naming him the reported winner and engagement recipient, yet even these have faded amid confirmed post-filming breakup details and the season’s permanent shelving. Remaining contestants trade below 2% as the franchise shifts focus away from the unbroadcast cycle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,456,359
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro (temporada cancelada)" at 79%, followed by "Doug Mason" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is "Outro (temporada cancelada)" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Doug Mason" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.