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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Política·Eleições Globais

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Política·Eleições Globais

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$398,309 Vol.

16 abr 2027
Polymarket

$398,309 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9,197 Vol.

97%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$32,014 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$7,144 Vol.

86%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,376 Vol.

84%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$17,564 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$12,178 Vol.

75%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$11,536 Vol.

74%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$10,756 Vol.

68%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$13,486 Vol.

63%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,908 Vol.

57%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$16,984 Vol.

39%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$15,999 Vol.

32%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,378 Vol.

28%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$11,814 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10,752 Vol.

26%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$7,519 Vol.

15%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$30,094 Vol.

15%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,312 Vol.

14%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$7,588 Vol.

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$26,494 Vol.

12%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$10,624 Vol.

11%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,593 Vol.

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,820 Vol.

8%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$10,805 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,548 Vol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$13,590 Vol.

7%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,031 Vol.

6%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$2,137 Vol.

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,765 Vol.

6%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$1,937 Vol.

6%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,639 Vol.

5%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$7,546 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,221 Vol.

5%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,235 Vol.

5%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$6,904 Vol.

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,829 Vol.

4%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$4,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,037 Vol.

4%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$10,873 Vol.

4%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,770 Vol.

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,348 Vol.

4%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$9,388 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,369 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,403 Vol.

3%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$5,891 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,786 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April and May, features a two-round system and bars incumbent Emmanuel Macron from a third term, opening the field to a wide range of contenders. Recent polls show Marine Le Pen of Rassemblement National leading first-round voting intentions at 32-36 percent after an appeals court reduced her prior ineligibility sentence in July 2026, enabling her candidacy. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise follows in most scenarios at 15-17 percent, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register lower but competitive shares. Over thirty candidates have declared, including Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 and ongoing party negotiations shaping final ballots amid polarized voter trends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398,309
Data de Término
17 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April and May, features a two-round system and bars incumbent Emmanuel Macron from a third term, opening the field to a wide range of contenders. Recent polls show Marine Le Pen of Rassemblement National leading first-round voting intentions at 32-36 percent after an appeals court reduced her prior ineligibility sentence in July 2026, enabling her candidacy. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise follows in most scenarios at 15-17 percent, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register lower but competitive shares. Over thirty candidates have declared, including Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 and ongoing party negotiations shaping final ballots amid polarized voter trends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$398,309
Data de Término
17 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 97%, followed by "Marine Le Pen" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $398.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.