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Nobel Peace Prize predictions & odds

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$20M Vol.

$77.2K today

$2M Liq.

189

Ends in 4 months

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

21%

Japan

$55.6K Vol.

$609K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Golden Glove Winner

World Cup: Golden Glove Winner

34%

Emiliano Martínez

$2.6K Vol.

$293K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

12%

Kylian Mbappé

$88.4K Vol.

$1M Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

36%

$4.8K Vol.

$78 Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

17%

Kylian Mbappe

$5M Vol.

$617K today

$3M Liq.

62

Ends in about 1 month

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

76%

July 31

$31M Vol.

$617K today

$210K Liq.

595

Ends in 18 days

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

65%

Sam Altman

$1.3K Vol.

$197K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

1%

$22.9K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

12%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$185K today

$133K Liq.

98

World Cup: Young Player Award Winner

World Cup: Young Player Award Winner

43%

Lamine Yamal

$19.3K Vol.

$129K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

13%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$686K today

$236K Liq.

44

Ends in 19 days

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

10%

$38.9K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

 World Cup: Silver Boot Winner

World Cup: Silver Boot Winner

26%

Erling Haaland

$3.1K Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner

World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner

40%

Nick Woltemade

$1.1K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

80%

Hong Wang

$533K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

8%

June 30

$7M Vol.

$508K today

$190K Liq.

49

World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner

World Cup: Bronze Ball Winner

9%

Rodri

$1.4K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Silver Ball Winner

World Cup: Silver Ball Winner

10%

Rayan Cherki

$1.5K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

87%

NATO

$8.7K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nobel Peace Prize.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Nobel Peace Prize that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 76% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nobel Peace Prize predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.