Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead trader consensus at 15.5% and 13.5% implied probability for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot because both enter in peak form after prolific 2025/26 club campaigns—Mbappé with 42 goals for Real Madrid and Kane with 61 across competitions for Bayern Munich—while carrying prior Golden Boot experience from 2022 and 2018. Erling Haaland sits at 7.5% on the back of 16 qualifying goals that powered Norway’s return, though limited team depth caps his ceiling. The tight spread across the top ten reflects the expanded 48-team format’s longer runs for deep contenders, strong recent scoring from players like Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal, and the inherent unpredictability of tournament goal tallies where injuries, rotations, and matchups can rapidly shift outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWeltmeisterschaft: Goldener Stiefelsieger
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 14%
Erling Haaland 8%
Mikel Oyarzabal 8%
$8,779,031 Vol.
$8,779,031 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
14%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Kai Havertz
7%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Folarin Balogun
3%
Cody Gakpo
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Donyell Malen
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Raphinha
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 14%
Erling Haaland 8%
Mikel Oyarzabal 8%
$8,779,031 Vol.
$8,779,031 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
14%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Kai Havertz
7%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Folarin Balogun
3%
Cody Gakpo
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Donyell Malen
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Raphinha
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead trader consensus at 15.5% and 13.5% implied probability for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot because both enter in peak form after prolific 2025/26 club campaigns—Mbappé with 42 goals for Real Madrid and Kane with 61 across competitions for Bayern Munich—while carrying prior Golden Boot experience from 2022 and 2018. Erling Haaland sits at 7.5% on the back of 16 qualifying goals that powered Norway’s return, though limited team depth caps his ceiling. The tight spread across the top ten reflects the expanded 48-team format’s longer runs for deep contenders, strong recent scoring from players like Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal, and the inherent unpredictability of tournament goal tallies where injuries, rotations, and matchups can rapidly shift outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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