Europe's 72.5% implied probability reflects the continent's unmatched squad depth across multiple UEFA nations, several of which enter the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 with recent major-tournament experience, strong club-league pipelines, and favorable qualification paths. South America's 21.5% centers on Argentina and Brazil's proven talent and head-to-head records against non-CONMEBOL sides, though the region fields fewer teams overall. Africa, North America, Asia, and Oceania remain at 2.6% or below because of thinner talent pools and limited historical success at the knockout stage. Pre-tournament friendlies and final roster announcements have shown no material changes to these relative strengths in recent weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEuropa 73%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 2.6%
Nordamerika 2.5%
$3,641,293 Vol.
$3,641,293 Vol.
Europa
73%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
3%
Nordamerika
2%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
Europa 73%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 2.6%
Nordamerika 2.5%
$3,641,293 Vol.
$3,641,293 Vol.
Europa
73%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
3%
Nordamerika
2%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's 72.5% implied probability reflects the continent's unmatched squad depth across multiple UEFA nations, several of which enter the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 with recent major-tournament experience, strong club-league pipelines, and favorable qualification paths. South America's 21.5% centers on Argentina and Brazil's proven talent and head-to-head records against non-CONMEBOL sides, though the region fields fewer teams overall. Africa, North America, Asia, and Oceania remain at 2.6% or below because of thinner talent pools and limited historical success at the knockout stage. Pre-tournament friendlies and final roster announcements have shown no material changes to these relative strengths in recent weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen