Spain and France share the narrowest edge among World Cup contenders due to their proven depth and recent major-tournament success, with Spain building on its Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League form while France leverages an exceptionally balanced squad for repeated final appearances. England follows closely on the back of consistent qualifying strength and attacking options, creating a compressed top tier where small edges in form, injuries such as Lamine Yamal concerns, or knockout-matchups can shift positioning. Argentina’s defending-champion status and South American depth keep it competitive alongside Brazil and Portugal, while the expanded 48-team field and varied group-stage paths sustain realistic chances for several sides to advance deep. This distribution reflects trader consensus on the inherent unpredictability of a high-stakes international tournament.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpanien 16.1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.5%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,846,410,528 Vol.
$1,846,410,528 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%

England
11%

Portugal
10%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
8%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
4%

Norwegen
2%

Belgien
2%

Kolumbien
2%

Japan
2%

Marokko
2%

Mexiko
1%

Schweiz
1%

USA
1%

Türkei
1%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Ecuador
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Südkorea
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Australien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Spanien 16.1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 16.1%
England 10.5%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,846,410,528 Vol.
$1,846,410,528 Vol.

Spanien
16%

Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
16%

England
11%

Portugal
10%

Argentinien
9%

Brasilien
8%

Deutschland
5%

Niederlande
4%

Norwegen
2%

Belgien
2%

Kolumbien
2%

Japan
2%

Marokko
2%

Mexiko
1%

Schweiz
1%

USA
1%

Türkei
1%

Uruguay
1%

Kroatien
1%

Ecuador
1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%

Elfenbeinküste
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Kanada
<1%

Schweden
<1%

Südkorea
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%

Schottland
<1%

Tschechien
<1%

Ägypten
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algerien
<1%

Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%

DR Kongo
<1%

Australien
<1%

Neuseeland
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordanien
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%

Usbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Südafrika
<1%

Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi-Arabien
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France share the narrowest edge among World Cup contenders due to their proven depth and recent major-tournament success, with Spain building on its Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League form while France leverages an exceptionally balanced squad for repeated final appearances. England follows closely on the back of consistent qualifying strength and attacking options, creating a compressed top tier where small edges in form, injuries such as Lamine Yamal concerns, or knockout-matchups can shift positioning. Argentina’s defending-champion status and South American depth keep it competitive alongside Brazil and Portugal, while the expanded 48-team field and varied group-stage paths sustain realistic chances for several sides to advance deep. This distribution reflects trader consensus on the inherent unpredictability of a high-stakes international tournament.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen