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AS predictions & odds

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Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

9%

$7M Vol.

$156K today

$458K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M Vol.

$88.2K today

$307K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%

$9M Vol.

$504K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

54%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$74.5K Liq.

72

Ends in 23 days

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

21%

$442K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

104

Ends in 23 days

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

8%

$42.1K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

9%

December 31

$128K Vol.

$75.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

12%

$293K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

18

Ends in 23 days

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

6%

$79.9K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

13%

$58.7K Vol.

$70.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

15%

$2M Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

29%

No announcement by December 31

$73.2K Vol.

$87.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

99%

December 31

$298K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

18

Ends in 23 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$857K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

45

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

2%

$226K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$375K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

63

Ends in 7 months

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

$150K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

1%

$356K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

88%

$159K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

32

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like AS.

Polymarket currently hosts 3082 active markets for AS that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $33.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump out as President before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on AS predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.