Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, yet no full expulsion of an Israeli ambassador has occurred since South Africa's January 2026 action against a chargé d'affaires and Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Tel Aviv. Trader consensus at 85% for no further expulsions by year-end reflects the absence of fresh triggers such as new military escalations, UN resolutions, or bilateral crises that historically prompt such measures. Countries like Brazil and others have seen only unconfirmed reports or calls without follow-through, while reciprocal diplomatic frictions have remained limited to lower-level personnel or ambassador withdrawals rather than formal expulsions. Scheduled events through December offer little immediate momentum for additional host-state actions against Israeli envoys.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
15% szansa
$53,517 Wol.
$53,517 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
15% szansa
$53,517 Wol.
$53,517 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, yet no full expulsion of an Israeli ambassador has occurred since South Africa's January 2026 action against a chargé d'affaires and Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Tel Aviv. Trader consensus at 85% for no further expulsions by year-end reflects the absence of fresh triggers such as new military escalations, UN resolutions, or bilateral crises that historically prompt such measures. Countries like Brazil and others have seen only unconfirmed reports or calls without follow-through, while reciprocal diplomatic frictions have remained limited to lower-level personnel or ambassador withdrawals rather than formal expulsions. Scheduled events through December offer little immediate momentum for additional host-state actions against Israeli envoys.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Wolumen
$53,517Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, yet no full expulsion of an Israeli ambassador has occurred since South Africa's January 2026 action against a chargé d'affaires and Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Tel Aviv. Trader consensus at 85% for no further expulsions by year-end reflects the absence of fresh triggers such as new military escalations, UN resolutions, or bilateral crises that historically prompt such measures. Countries like Brazil and others have seen only unconfirmed reports or calls without follow-through, while reciprocal diplomatic frictions have remained limited to lower-level personnel or ambassador withdrawals rather than formal expulsions. Scheduled events through December offer little immediate momentum for additional host-state actions against Israeli envoys.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$53,517Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid ongoing Middle East conflicts, yet no full expulsion of an Israeli ambassador has occurred since South Africa's January 2026 action against a chargé d'affaires and Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Tel Aviv. Trader consensus at 85% for no further expulsions by year-end reflects the absence of fresh triggers such as new military escalations, UN resolutions, or bilateral crises that historically prompt such measures. Countries like Brazil and others have seen only unconfirmed reports or calls without follow-through, while reciprocal diplomatic frictions have remained limited to lower-level personnel or ambassador withdrawals rather than formal expulsions. Scheduled events through December offer little immediate momentum for additional host-state actions against Israeli envoys.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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