Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?

icon for Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?

Jedna Rosja (ER) 69%

Nowi Ludzie (NL) 24.6%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 4.3%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 1.4%

Polymarket

$24,971,016 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER) 69%

Nowi Ludzie (NL) 24.6%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) 4.3%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) 1.4%

Polymarket

$24,971,016 Wol.

icon for Jedna Rosja (ER)

Jedna Rosja (ER)

$9,116,185 Wol.

69%

icon for Nowi Ludzie (NL)

Nowi Ludzie (NL)

$2,612,692 Wol.

25%

icon for Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)

$3,578,786 Wol.

4%

icon for Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)

$1,708,611 Wol.

1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$1,653,677 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$2,878,284 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)

$2,110,913 Wol.

<1%

icon for Platforma Obywatelska (GP)

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)

$1,311,869 Wol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a strong lead in trader pricing for securing the most State Duma seats due to its incumbency advantages in the mixed electoral system, including dominance in single-mandate districts and established organizational reach ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have reinforced its position, with state-aligned polling showing it ahead despite modest declines in support amid economic pressures and voter fatigue. New People has captured rising share in surveys as the main beneficiary among systemic alternatives, drawing urban and younger voters seeking a milder option, though structural barriers limit its path to plurality. Smaller parties like LDPR and KPRF trail further, reflecting limited momentum shifts in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$24,971,016
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a strong lead in trader pricing for securing the most State Duma seats due to its incumbency advantages in the mixed electoral system, including dominance in single-mandate districts and established organizational reach ahead of the September 18–20 vote. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have reinforced its position, with state-aligned polling showing it ahead despite modest declines in support amid economic pressures and voter fatigue. New People has captured rising share in surveys as the main beneficiary among systemic alternatives, drawing urban and younger voters seeking a milder option, though structural barriers limit its path to plurality. Smaller parties like LDPR and KPRF trail further, reflecting limited momentum shifts in the final weeks.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$24,971,016
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

Powiązane

icon for Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

98%
icon for Czy Jedna Rosja (ER) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w następnych wyborach parlamentarnych w Rosji?

Czy Jedna Rosja (ER) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w następnych wyborach parlamentarnych w Rosji?

99%
Tak
icon for Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

48%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jedna Rosja (ER)" z 69%, za nim "Nowi Ludzie (NL)" z 25%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 69¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" wygenerował $25 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" jest "Jedna Rosja (ER)" z 69%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Nowi Ludzie (NL)" z 25%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Która partia zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w rosyjskich wyborach parlamentarnych?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.