Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
$1.169M - $1.185M 27%
$1.185M - $1.201M 18.4%
$1.153M - $1.169M 16%
$1.137M - $1.153M 12%
$19,911 Wol.
$19,911 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.137M
4%
$1.137M - $1.153M
12%
$1.153M - $1.169M
21%
$1.169M - $1.185M
27%
$1.185M - $1.201M
18%
$1.201M - $1.216M
9%
$1.216M+
3%
$1.169M - $1.185M 27%
$1.185M - $1.201M 18.4%
$1.153M - $1.169M 16%
$1.137M - $1.153M 12%
$19,911 Wol.
$19,911 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.137M
$699 Wol.
4%
$1.137M - $1.153M
$4,307 Wol.
12%
$1.153M - $1.169M
$789 Wol.
21%
$1.169M - $1.185M
$5,057 Wol.
27%
$1.185M - $1.201M
$5,784 Wol.
18%
$1.201M - $1.216M
$2,935 Wol.
9%
$1.216M+
$338 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,911Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/48)
Wolumen
$19,911Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mortgage rates near 6.5% remain the dominant constraint on Los Angeles Metro housing demand, sustaining affordability challenges that have kept median values largely stable or modestly softer year-over-year around the $900K–$1M range through mid-2026. Rising inventory, though still below balanced-market levels, combined with limited seller turnover due to embedded low-rate mortgages, has tempered upward pressure while economic resilience in employment and migration provides support. With September 30 resolution only three months away and probabilities evenly distributed across narrow bands near $1.14M–$1.22M, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over any near-term Fed easing or seasonal sales data that could shift the trajectory within this tight window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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