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Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

$663K - $689K 45.6%

$636K - $663K 35.1%

$609K - $636K 6.1%

$555K - $582K 2.9%

Polymarket

$64,818 Wol.

$663K - $689K 45.6%

$636K - $663K 35.1%

$609K - $636K 6.1%

$555K - $582K 2.9%

Polymarket

$64,818 Wol.

<$555K

$1,096 Wol.

11%

$555K - $582K

$2,516 Wol.

3%

$582K - $609K

$1,036 Wol.

1%

$609K - $636K

$8,914 Wol.

8%

$636K - $663K

$33,899 Wol.

35%

$663K - $689K

$9,103 Wol.

46%

$689K+

$8,254 Wol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Wolumen
$64,818
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent median listing prices for New York City and broader New York markets have clustered in the $615,000–$689,000 range through August 2026, according to Realtor.com and FRED data, aligning with the 45.6% market-implied probability on the $663K–$689K bin. Tight inventory, persistent demand for higher-end properties, and limited new supply have supported these levels despite some monthly volatility and mixed year-over-year gains in sale prices. With resolution on September 30 imminent, the final figure will hinge on any late-summer adjustments in listing activity amid still-elevated mortgage rates and seasonal patterns. Trader positioning reflects this data-driven stability rather than expectations of sharp near-term shifts.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Wolumen
$64,818
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$663K - $689K" z 46%, za nim "$636K - $663K" z 35%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 46¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?" wygenerował $64.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?" jest "$663K - $689K" z 46%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$636K - $663K" z 35%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.