Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026 alongside local council polls, have been repeatedly postponed due to security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, and drought conditions, with the National Electoral Commission and House of Elders approving extensions including a 27-month term prolongation in April 2026. This pattern of delays, common in Somaliland's electoral history despite the 2024 presidential vote proceeding on schedule, has driven trader consensus toward no parliamentary contest before 2027. Key factors include ongoing preparations under the new Waddani-led administration and the need for electoral reforms. Earlier voting could occur if security stabilizes, funding and voter registration advance rapidly, or political agreements override current extensions, though constitutional and institutional barriers remain significant.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3.1%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 2.5%
$94,834 Wol.
$94,834 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
No election before 2027
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
2%
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 3.1%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 2.5%
$94,834 Wol.
$94,834 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
No election before 2027
$84,975 Wol.
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,279 Wol.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Wol.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,058 Wol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026 alongside local council polls, have been repeatedly postponed due to security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, and drought conditions, with the National Electoral Commission and House of Elders approving extensions including a 27-month term prolongation in April 2026. This pattern of delays, common in Somaliland's electoral history despite the 2024 presidential vote proceeding on schedule, has driven trader consensus toward no parliamentary contest before 2027. Key factors include ongoing preparations under the new Waddani-led administration and the need for electoral reforms. Earlier voting could occur if security stabilizes, funding and voter registration advance rapidly, or political agreements override current extensions, though constitutional and institutional barriers remain significant.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$94,834Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026 alongside local council polls, have been repeatedly postponed due to security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, and drought conditions, with the National Electoral Commission and House of Elders approving extensions including a 27-month term prolongation in April 2026. This pattern of delays, common in Somaliland's electoral history despite the 2024 presidential vote proceeding on schedule, has driven trader consensus toward no parliamentary contest before 2027. Key factors include ongoing preparations under the new Waddani-led administration and the need for electoral reforms. Earlier voting could occur if security stabilizes, funding and voter registration advance rapidly, or political agreements override current extensions, though constitutional and institutional barriers remain significant.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Wolumen
$94,834Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally set for May 2026 alongside local council polls, have been repeatedly postponed due to security concerns, technical and logistical hurdles, and drought conditions, with the National Electoral Commission and House of Elders approving extensions including a 27-month term prolongation in April 2026. This pattern of delays, common in Somaliland's electoral history despite the 2024 presidential vote proceeding on schedule, has driven trader consensus toward no parliamentary contest before 2027. Key factors include ongoing preparations under the new Waddani-led administration and the need for electoral reforms. Earlier voting could occur if security stabilizes, funding and voter registration advance rapidly, or political agreements override current extensions, though constitutional and institutional barriers remain significant.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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