Google's flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased 3.5 Pro variant delayed multiple times after its May I/O announcement. Internal performance shortfalls in coding, long-horizon agentic tasks, and multimodal reasoning prompted extended partner testing rather than a June or July launch, while Google instead shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) optimized for speed and cost. This pattern, alongside Sundar Pichai's confirmation that pre-training for the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model is underway, has shaped trader views on timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official 3.5 Pro availability in the Gemini API or Vertex AI and further earnings commentary on release readiness.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
$1,227,235 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
34%
October 31
78%
$1,227,235 Wol.
September 15
$9,957 Wol.
3%
September 30
$51,918 Wol.
34%
October 31
$9,277 Wol.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased 3.5 Pro variant delayed multiple times after its May I/O announcement. Internal performance shortfalls in coding, long-horizon agentic tasks, and multimodal reasoning prompted extended partner testing rather than a June or July launch, while Google instead shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) optimized for speed and cost. This pattern, alongside Sundar Pichai's confirmation that pre-training for the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model is underway, has shaped trader views on timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official 3.5 Pro availability in the Gemini API or Vertex AI and further earnings commentary on release readiness.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,227,235Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased 3.5 Pro variant delayed multiple times after its May I/O announcement. Internal performance shortfalls in coding, long-horizon agentic tasks, and multimodal reasoning prompted extended partner testing rather than a June or July launch, while Google instead shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) optimized for speed and cost. This pattern, alongside Sundar Pichai's confirmation that pre-training for the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model is underway, has shaped trader views on timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official 3.5 Pro availability in the Gemini API or Vertex AI and further earnings commentary on release readiness.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,227,235Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Google's flagship Gemini Pro series has seen no new release since Gemini 3.1 Pro in February 2026, with the long-teased 3.5 Pro variant delayed multiple times after its May I/O announcement. Internal performance shortfalls in coding, long-horizon agentic tasks, and multimodal reasoning prompted extended partner testing rather than a June or July launch, while Google instead shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) optimized for speed and cost. This pattern, alongside Sundar Pichai's confirmation that pre-training for the more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model is underway, has shaped trader views on timelines. Key near-term catalysts include any official 3.5 Pro availability in the Gemini API or Vertex AI and further earnings commentary on release readiness.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania