Recent polling averages place the AfD at 35–36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 election, with the SPD at 28–29 percent and the Left Party near 12 percent. This distribution, combined with stable support levels through mid-2026 and only modest SPD gains in the latest surveys, produces projected AfD seat totals clustered around the 28–31 range. Smaller parties hovering near the five-percent threshold add uncertainty to overall seat allocation under the state’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. The narrow spread across multiple outcomes in trader pricing reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions and the absence of major campaign events capable of shifting turnout or coalition dynamics. Further separation could emerge from final-week polling shifts, differential mobilization in eastern districts, or stronger-than-expected results for the CDU or Greens that alter remainder distributions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano28-31 42%
<20 39%
20-23 34%
36+ 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<20
39%
20-23
34%
24-27
32%
28-31
42%
32-35
32%
36+
34%
28-31 42%
<20 39%
20-23 34%
36+ 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$20 Wol.
39%
20-23
$0 Wol.
34%
24-27
$0 Wol.
32%
28-31
$0 Wol.
42%
32-35
$0 Wol.
32%
36+
$0 Wol.
34%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place the AfD at 35–36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 election, with the SPD at 28–29 percent and the Left Party near 12 percent. This distribution, combined with stable support levels through mid-2026 and only modest SPD gains in the latest surveys, produces projected AfD seat totals clustered around the 28–31 range. Smaller parties hovering near the five-percent threshold add uncertainty to overall seat allocation under the state’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. The narrow spread across multiple outcomes in trader pricing reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions and the absence of major campaign events capable of shifting turnout or coalition dynamics. Further separation could emerge from final-week polling shifts, differential mobilization in eastern districts, or stronger-than-expected results for the CDU or Greens that alter remainder distributions.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place the AfD at 35–36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 election, with the SPD at 28–29 percent and the Left Party near 12 percent. This distribution, combined with stable support levels through mid-2026 and only modest SPD gains in the latest surveys, produces projected AfD seat totals clustered around the 28–31 range. Smaller parties hovering near the five-percent threshold add uncertainty to overall seat allocation under the state’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. The narrow spread across multiple outcomes in trader pricing reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions and the absence of major campaign events capable of shifting turnout or coalition dynamics. Further separation could emerge from final-week polling shifts, differential mobilization in eastern districts, or stronger-than-expected results for the CDU or Greens that alter remainder distributions.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the AfD at 35–36 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 election, with the SPD at 28–29 percent and the Left Party near 12 percent. This distribution, combined with stable support levels through mid-2026 and only modest SPD gains in the latest surveys, produces projected AfD seat totals clustered around the 28–31 range. Smaller parties hovering near the five-percent threshold add uncertainty to overall seat allocation under the state’s proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. The narrow spread across multiple outcomes in trader pricing reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions and the absence of major campaign events capable of shifting turnout or coalition dynamics. Further separation could emerge from final-week polling shifts, differential mobilization in eastern districts, or stronger-than-expected results for the CDU or Greens that alter remainder distributions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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