Recent polling shows Die Linke gaining ground ahead of the 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, often placing first or second with 18–22% support amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD. This multi-party competition, combined with Berlin’s proportional seat allocation and 5% threshold, produces wide uncertainty in translating vote shares into exact mandates for the Linke. Trader prices remain tightly clustered across seat ranges because small shifts in turnout, coalition signaling, or late swings among left-leaning voters could move the party across several bins. With roughly six weeks until voting, final campaign events and any consolidation among other parties are the main variables that could separate the probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<20 35%
20-24 35%
40+ 35%
25-29 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<20
35%
20-24
35%
25-29
34%
30-34
33%
35-39
34%
40+
35%
<20 35%
20-24 35%
40+ 35%
25-29 34%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$0 Wol.
35%
20-24
$0 Wol.
35%
25-29
$0 Wol.
34%
30-34
$0 Wol.
33%
35-39
$0 Wol.
34%
40+
$0 Wol.
35%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling shows Die Linke gaining ground ahead of the 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, often placing first or second with 18–22% support amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD. This multi-party competition, combined with Berlin’s proportional seat allocation and 5% threshold, produces wide uncertainty in translating vote shares into exact mandates for the Linke. Trader prices remain tightly clustered across seat ranges because small shifts in turnout, coalition signaling, or late swings among left-leaning voters could move the party across several bins. With roughly six weeks until voting, final campaign events and any consolidation among other parties are the main variables that could separate the probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling shows Die Linke gaining ground ahead of the 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, often placing first or second with 18–22% support amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD. This multi-party competition, combined with Berlin’s proportional seat allocation and 5% threshold, produces wide uncertainty in translating vote shares into exact mandates for the Linke. Trader prices remain tightly clustered across seat ranges because small shifts in turnout, coalition signaling, or late swings among left-leaning voters could move the party across several bins. With roughly six weeks until voting, final campaign events and any consolidation among other parties are the main variables that could separate the probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Die Linke gaining ground ahead of the 20 September 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election, often placing first or second with 18–22% support amid a fragmented field that includes the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD. This multi-party competition, combined with Berlin’s proportional seat allocation and 5% threshold, produces wide uncertainty in translating vote shares into exact mandates for the Linke. Trader prices remain tightly clustered across seat ranges because small shifts in turnout, coalition signaling, or late swings among left-leaning voters could move the party across several bins. With roughly six weeks until voting, final campaign events and any consolidation among other parties are the main variables that could separate the probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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