**Persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 7.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate tropical nights with overnight lows remaining at or above 25°C through early August, supported by warm advection, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent short-range forecasts show daytime maxima near 36–39°C, consistent with climatological peaks for the period, keeping minimums elevated rather than allowing typical radiative cooling. Updated model consensus has narrowed expectations around 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on these outcomes while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
28°C 59%
27°C 29%
29°C 10%
26°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
29%
28°C
59%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 59%
27°C 29%
29°C 10%
26°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
$248 Wol.
1%
24°C
$277 Wol.
1%
25°C
$238 Wol.
1%
26°C
$335 Wol.
2%
27°C
$320 Wol.
29%
28°C
$2,185 Wol.
59%
29°C
$306 Wol.
10%
30°C
$725 Wol.
1%
31°C
$251 Wol.
1%
32°C
$419 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$257 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 7.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate tropical nights with overnight lows remaining at or above 25°C through early August, supported by warm advection, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent short-range forecasts show daytime maxima near 36–39°C, consistent with climatological peaks for the period, keeping minimums elevated rather than allowing typical radiative cooling. Updated model consensus has narrowed expectations around 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on these outcomes while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,562Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 7.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate tropical nights with overnight lows remaining at or above 25°C through early August, supported by warm advection, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent short-range forecasts show daytime maxima near 36–39°C, consistent with climatological peaks for the period, keeping minimums elevated rather than allowing typical radiative cooling. Updated model consensus has narrowed expectations around 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on these outcomes while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,562Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 27–28°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 7.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate tropical nights with overnight lows remaining at or above 25°C through early August, supported by warm advection, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent short-range forecasts show daytime maxima near 36–39°C, consistent with climatological peaks for the period, keeping minimums elevated rather than allowing typical radiative cooling. Updated model consensus has narrowed expectations around 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on these outcomes while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania