Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the official measurement site, projected an overnight minimum of 51°F on September 4 under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and elevated humidity that limited radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 52-53°F bin holding 93.5% market-implied odds, consistent with climatological September averages near 55°F yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern of marine influence and cloud cover suppressing temperature drops. Historical analogs show rare excursions below 50°F this early in the month absent strong cold-air advection. Confirmation at resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum recorded by local climatological data standards; any unforecasted clear-sky window or station-specific microclimate variation could shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seattle on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 4?
52-53°F 99%
46-47°F 15%
50-51°F 2%
45°F or below <1%
$946 Wol.
$946 Wol.
Sep 4, 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
52-53°F 99%
46-47°F 15%
50-51°F 2%
45°F or below <1%
$946 Wol.
$946 Wol.
Sep 4, 2026
45°F or below
$96 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$27 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$62 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$27 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$277 Wol.
Yes
54-55°F
$134 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$110 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$62 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$57 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$47 Wol.
No
64°F or higher
$47 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the official measurement site, projected an overnight minimum of 51°F on September 4 under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and elevated humidity that limited radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 52-53°F bin holding 93.5% market-implied odds, consistent with climatological September averages near 55°F yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern of marine influence and cloud cover suppressing temperature drops. Historical analogs show rare excursions below 50°F this early in the month absent strong cold-air advection. Confirmation at resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum recorded by local climatological data standards; any unforecasted clear-sky window or station-specific microclimate variation could shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$946Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the official measurement site, projected an overnight minimum of 51°F on September 4 under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and elevated humidity that limited radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 52-53°F bin holding 93.5% market-implied odds, consistent with climatological September averages near 55°F yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern of marine influence and cloud cover suppressing temperature drops. Historical analogs show rare excursions below 50°F this early in the month absent strong cold-air advection. Confirmation at resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum recorded by local climatological data standards; any unforecasted clear-sky window or station-specific microclimate variation could shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$946Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the official measurement site, projected an overnight minimum of 51°F on September 4 under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and elevated humidity that limited radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 52-53°F bin holding 93.5% market-implied odds, consistent with climatological September averages near 55°F yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern of marine influence and cloud cover suppressing temperature drops. Historical analogs show rare excursions below 50°F this early in the month absent strong cold-air advection. Confirmation at resolution depends on the final 24-hour minimum recorded by local climatological data standards; any unforecasted clear-sky window or station-specific microclimate variation could shift the outcome into adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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