Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum near 12–13 °C on September 10, driven by southerly advection of milder air and mostly clear skies that permit moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched 4 °C-or-below (48 %) and 14 °C-or-higher (46 %) brackets, with specific-temperature markets clustered around 20–25 % reflecting model spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud timing. Historical September 10 lows average about 9 °C, so current guidance represents a notable positive anomaly tied to the ongoing warm surge. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and official Hydrometeorological Center updates through September 9 for any late adjustments in steering flow or moisture that could shift the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
14°C or higher 85%
4°C or below 73%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
73%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
25%
10°C
27%
11°C
25%
12°C
40%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
85%
14°C or higher 85%
4°C or below 73%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
4°C or below
$30 Wol.
73%
5°C
$25 Wol.
40%
6°C
$0 Wol.
40%
7°C
$0 Wol.
22%
8°C
$0 Wol.
22%
9°C
$0 Wol.
25%
10°C
$0 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
25%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
23%
14°C or higher
$25 Wol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum near 12–13 °C on September 10, driven by southerly advection of milder air and mostly clear skies that permit moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched 4 °C-or-below (48 %) and 14 °C-or-higher (46 %) brackets, with specific-temperature markets clustered around 20–25 % reflecting model spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud timing. Historical September 10 lows average about 9 °C, so current guidance represents a notable positive anomaly tied to the ongoing warm surge. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and official Hydrometeorological Center updates through September 9 for any late adjustments in steering flow or moisture that could shift the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$80Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum near 12–13 °C on September 10, driven by southerly advection of milder air and mostly clear skies that permit moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched 4 °C-or-below (48 %) and 14 °C-or-higher (46 %) brackets, with specific-temperature markets clustered around 20–25 % reflecting model spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud timing. Historical September 10 lows average about 9 °C, so current guidance represents a notable positive anomaly tied to the ongoing warm surge. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and official Hydrometeorological Center updates through September 9 for any late adjustments in steering flow or moisture that could shift the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$80Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum near 12–13 °C on September 10, driven by southerly advection of milder air and mostly clear skies that permit moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched 4 °C-or-below (48 %) and 14 °C-or-higher (46 %) brackets, with specific-temperature markets clustered around 20–25 % reflecting model spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud timing. Historical September 10 lows average about 9 °C, so current guidance represents a notable positive anomaly tied to the ongoing warm surge. Traders are monitoring the next high-resolution model cycles and official Hydrometeorological Center updates through September 9 for any late adjustments in steering flow or moisture that could shift the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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