Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 19 in the mid to upper 70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 76–79°F outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling overnight, while dew points near 60–65°F and daytime heat retention from highs near 100°F support those readings. Subtle differences among ensemble members—particularly small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed—account for the narrow spreads between 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Historical September averages near 69°F underscore how persistent warm advection has elevated current probabilities, with final NWS station observations at DFW or Dallas Love Field set to resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Dallas on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 19?
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
7%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
24%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
25%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
11%
86°F or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 19 in the mid to upper 70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 76–79°F outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling overnight, while dew points near 60–65°F and daytime heat retention from highs near 100°F support those readings. Subtle differences among ensemble members—particularly small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed—account for the narrow spreads between 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Historical September averages near 69°F underscore how persistent warm advection has elevated current probabilities, with final NWS station observations at DFW or Dallas Love Field set to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 19 in the mid to upper 70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 76–79°F outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling overnight, while dew points near 60–65°F and daytime heat retention from highs near 100°F support those readings. Subtle differences among ensemble members—particularly small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed—account for the narrow spreads between 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Historical September averages near 69°F underscore how persistent warm advection has elevated current probabilities, with final NWS station observations at DFW or Dallas Love Field set to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Dallas on September 19 in the mid to upper 70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 76–79°F outcomes. Clear skies and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling overnight, while dew points near 60–65°F and daytime heat retention from highs near 100°F support those readings. Subtle differences among ensemble members—particularly small variations in boundary-layer mixing or wind speed—account for the narrow spreads between 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Historical September averages near 69°F underscore how persistent warm advection has elevated current probabilities, with final NWS station observations at DFW or Dallas Love Field set to resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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