Forecast consensus from Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and GFS ensembles places Beijing’s September 18 maximum near 28–29 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and modest moisture that caps daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Latest observations around midday reached 26–28 °C with dew points near 18 °C, consistent with the narrow probability band traders have assigned. Historical mid-September averages hover near 26 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that reinforces the 28 °C outcome as the modal resolution. Updated model runs and official hourly reports through late afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift marginal probability between the two leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
28°C 66%
29°C 34%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
$37,977 Wol.
$37,977 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
66%
29°C
34%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 66%
29°C 34%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
$37,977 Wol.
$37,977 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
$1,579 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,381 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$4,701 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,921 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$8,008 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,569 Wol.
66%
29°C
$4,638 Wol.
34%
30°C
$5,164 Wol.
2%
31°C
$2,354 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,044 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$950 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and GFS ensembles places Beijing’s September 18 maximum near 28–29 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and modest moisture that caps daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Latest observations around midday reached 26–28 °C with dew points near 18 °C, consistent with the narrow probability band traders have assigned. Historical mid-September averages hover near 26 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that reinforces the 28 °C outcome as the modal resolution. Updated model runs and official hourly reports through late afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift marginal probability between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,977Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and GFS ensembles places Beijing’s September 18 maximum near 28–29 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and modest moisture that caps daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Latest observations around midday reached 26–28 °C with dew points near 18 °C, consistent with the narrow probability band traders have assigned. Historical mid-September averages hover near 26 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that reinforces the 28 °C outcome as the modal resolution. Updated model runs and official hourly reports through late afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift marginal probability between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,977Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and GFS ensembles places Beijing’s September 18 maximum near 28–29 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and modest moisture that caps daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Latest observations around midday reached 26–28 °C with dew points near 18 °C, consistent with the narrow probability band traders have assigned. Historical mid-September averages hover near 26 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that reinforces the 28 °C outcome as the modal resolution. Updated model runs and official hourly reports through late afternoon remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift marginal probability between the two leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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