Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature of 14–16°C for Cape Town on September 10, driven by persistent southerly flow around the South Atlantic high and limited cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the September climatological average low near 11°C yet below the threshold for unusually warm nights. Model consensus shows mostly cloudy conditions with moderate onshore winds moderating overnight cooling, though small timing shifts in frontal passages could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will be the key variables influencing trader assessments of the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
9°C or below 98%
19°C or higher 98%
11°C 39%
13°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
98%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
24%
15°C
21%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
98%
9°C or below 98%
19°C or higher 98%
11°C 39%
13°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
98%
10°C
$0 Wol.
20%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
22%
13°C
$0 Wol.
25%
14°C
$0 Wol.
24%
15°C
$0 Wol.
21%
16°C
$0 Wol.
20%
17°C
$25 Wol.
8%
18°C
$25 Wol.
1%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature of 14–16°C for Cape Town on September 10, driven by persistent southerly flow around the South Atlantic high and limited cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the September climatological average low near 11°C yet below the threshold for unusually warm nights. Model consensus shows mostly cloudy conditions with moderate onshore winds moderating overnight cooling, though small timing shifts in frontal passages could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will be the key variables influencing trader assessments of the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$50Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature of 14–16°C for Cape Town on September 10, driven by persistent southerly flow around the South Atlantic high and limited cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the September climatological average low near 11°C yet below the threshold for unusually warm nights. Model consensus shows mostly cloudy conditions with moderate onshore winds moderating overnight cooling, though small timing shifts in frontal passages could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will be the key variables influencing trader assessments of the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature of 14–16°C for Cape Town on September 10, driven by persistent southerly flow around the South Atlantic high and limited cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the September climatological average low near 11°C yet below the threshold for unusually warm nights. Model consensus shows mostly cloudy conditions with moderate onshore winds moderating overnight cooling, though small timing shifts in frontal passages could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will be the key variables influencing trader assessments of the 9°C-or-below versus 19°C-or-higher brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania