**Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) leads trader pricing at 60.5% as the incumbent MNA for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, a Montreal riding with a strong left-leaning history.** He won decisively in 2022 with over 50% of the vote under redistributed boundaries. Recent 338Canada projections rate the seat a toss-up between QS and the Parti Québécois, with QS holding a modest edge in vote share amid the broader October 5, 2026, general election campaign. Provincial polling shows the PQ competitive overall, yet this district’s demographics and Leduc’s established profile as a sitting critic on labor, family, and administrative files support his position. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (PQ) follows at 33%, while CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates trail at under 1%, reflecting limited traction in the riding. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that would shift the local contest. Market pricing reflects incumbency advantage and riding-specific voting patterns rather than province-wide trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlexandre Leduc 58%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin 34%
Béatrice Hodonou 1.1%
Janny Gaspard <1%
Alexandre Leduc
61%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin
34%
Béatrice Hodonou
1%
Janny Gaspard
<1%
Elena Penta
<1%
Alexandre Leduc 58%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin 34%
Béatrice Hodonou 1.1%
Janny Gaspard <1%
Alexandre Leduc
61%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin
34%
Béatrice Hodonou
1%
Janny Gaspard
<1%
Elena Penta
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) leads trader pricing at 60.5% as the incumbent MNA for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, a Montreal riding with a strong left-leaning history.** He won decisively in 2022 with over 50% of the vote under redistributed boundaries. Recent 338Canada projections rate the seat a toss-up between QS and the Parti Québécois, with QS holding a modest edge in vote share amid the broader October 5, 2026, general election campaign. Provincial polling shows the PQ competitive overall, yet this district’s demographics and Leduc’s established profile as a sitting critic on labor, family, and administrative files support his position. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (PQ) follows at 33%, while CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates trail at under 1%, reflecting limited traction in the riding. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that would shift the local contest. Market pricing reflects incumbency advantage and riding-specific voting patterns rather than province-wide trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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