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Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

55-64 40%

45-54 28%

Under 45 22%

75-84 10%

Polymarket
NOWE

55-64 40%

45-54 28%

Under 45 22%

75-84 10%

Polymarket
NOWE

Under 45

$45 Wol.

22%

45-54

$50 Wol.

28%

55-64

$64 Wol.

40%

65-74

$27 Wol.

4%

75-84

$5 Wol.

10%

85+

$5 Wol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee’s age centers on the 55-64 bracket at 40 percent, followed by 45-54 at 28 percent and under 45 at 21.5 percent.** This positioning reflects the profiles of leading speculated contenders, including Gavin Newsom (age ~61), Kamala Harris (~64), Gretchen Whitmer (~57), Josh Shapiro (~55), and Pete Buttigieg (~46) during the election cycle. Early national polls frequently place Harris or Buttigieg near the top, while prediction markets highlight Newsom alongside rising younger names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (~39) and Jon Ossoff (~41). Recent primary calendar adjustments favoring South Carolina and ongoing midterms have kept the field wide open, with no formal declarations yet. Discussions of generational turnover after successive older presidents have lifted probabilities for candidates under 55, though structural factors like name recognition and fundraising continue to favor those in their mid-50s to mid-60s.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Wolumen
$195
Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee’s age centers on the 55-64 bracket at 40 percent, followed by 45-54 at 28 percent and under 45 at 21.5 percent.** This positioning reflects the profiles of leading speculated contenders, including Gavin Newsom (age ~61), Kamala Harris (~64), Gretchen Whitmer (~57), Josh Shapiro (~55), and Pete Buttigieg (~46) during the election cycle. Early national polls frequently place Harris or Buttigieg near the top, while prediction markets highlight Newsom alongside rising younger names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (~39) and Jon Ossoff (~41). Recent primary calendar adjustments favoring South Carolina and ongoing midterms have kept the field wide open, with no formal declarations yet. Discussions of generational turnover after successive older presidents have lifted probabilities for candidates under 55, though structural factors like name recognition and fundraising continue to favor those in their mid-50s to mid-60s.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Wolumen
$195
Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2028
Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "55-64" z 40%, za nim "45-54" z 28%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 40¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 40% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 15, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" jest "55-64" z 40%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 40% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "45-54" z 28%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.