**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 72°F for New York City on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 8–11 mph.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 70–71°F (45.0% implied probability) and 72–73°F (32.5%), as traders weigh the cooling trend behind a departing cold front and high pressure building from the north. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs unlikely to exceed the mid-70s or drop below the upper 60s given stable conditions and no significant moisture return. The implied odds capture this narrow range while acknowledging minor forecast adjustments possible from overnight observations or boundary-layer details before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations like Central Park.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 19?
70-71°F 64%
72-73°F 23%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 6%
NOWE
$13,025 Wol.
NOWE
$13,025 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
64%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 64%
72-73°F 23%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 6%
NOWE
$13,025 Wol.
NOWE
$13,025 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
61°F or below
$111 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$421 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$121 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$296 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$3,033 Wol.
9%
70-71°F
$4,486 Wol.
64%
72-73°F
$2,178 Wol.
23%
74-75°F
$1,863 Wol.
6%
76-77°F
$144 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$260 Wol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$111 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 72°F for New York City on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 8–11 mph.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 70–71°F (45.0% implied probability) and 72–73°F (32.5%), as traders weigh the cooling trend behind a departing cold front and high pressure building from the north. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs unlikely to exceed the mid-70s or drop below the upper 60s given stable conditions and no significant moisture return. The implied odds capture this narrow range while acknowledging minor forecast adjustments possible from overnight observations or boundary-layer details before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations like Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,025Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 72°F for New York City on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 8–11 mph.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 70–71°F (45.0% implied probability) and 72–73°F (32.5%), as traders weigh the cooling trend behind a departing cold front and high pressure building from the north. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs unlikely to exceed the mid-70s or drop below the upper 60s given stable conditions and no significant moisture return. The implied odds capture this narrow range while acknowledging minor forecast adjustments possible from overnight observations or boundary-layer details before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations like Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,025Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 72°F for New York City on September 19, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 8–11 mph.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 70–71°F (45.0% implied probability) and 72–73°F (32.5%), as traders weigh the cooling trend behind a departing cold front and high pressure building from the north. Recent model runs show limited spread, with highs unlikely to exceed the mid-70s or drop below the upper 60s given stable conditions and no significant moisture return. The implied odds capture this narrow range while acknowledging minor forecast adjustments possible from overnight observations or boundary-layer details before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations like Central Park.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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