Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a post-frontal cooling trend for Moscow on September 12, with westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime heating to highs near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This follows warmer southerly advection that produced peaks near 24–26°C on September 10, followed by rain and a shift to moderate westerlies on the 11th. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the seasonal norm of roughly 17°C, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or boundary-layer mixing at the official station could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and short-range models expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
17°C 44%
16°C 33%
18°C 12%
15°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
33%
17°C
44%
18°C
12%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 44%
16°C 33%
18°C 12%
15°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$130 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$37 Wol.
3%
14°C
$19 Wol.
4%
15°C
$8 Wol.
11%
16°C
$119 Wol.
33%
17°C
$277 Wol.
44%
18°C
$20 Wol.
12%
19°C
$34 Wol.
5%
20°C
$27 Wol.
6%
21°C
$0 Wol.
2%
22°C or higher
$124 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a post-frontal cooling trend for Moscow on September 12, with westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime heating to highs near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This follows warmer southerly advection that produced peaks near 24–26°C on September 10, followed by rain and a shift to moderate westerlies on the 11th. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the seasonal norm of roughly 17°C, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or boundary-layer mixing at the official station could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and short-range models expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$731Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a post-frontal cooling trend for Moscow on September 12, with westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime heating to highs near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This follows warmer southerly advection that produced peaks near 24–26°C on September 10, followed by rain and a shift to moderate westerlies on the 11th. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the seasonal norm of roughly 17°C, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or boundary-layer mixing at the official station could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and short-range models expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$731Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a post-frontal cooling trend for Moscow on September 12, with westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions limiting daytime heating to highs near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This follows warmer southerly advection that produced peaks near 24–26°C on September 10, followed by rain and a shift to moderate westerlies on the 11th. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the seasonal norm of roughly 17°C, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or boundary-layer mixing at the official station could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and short-range models expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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