**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Panama City, Panama, supporting elevated minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for September 12.** Official and model guidance (including GFS-influenced forecasts) show typical September conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C and lows in the mid-20s °C, driven by moist air masses and the Intertropical Convergence Zone. These factors reduce the diurnal temperature range, making sub-22°C readings historically rare and currently improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the daily minimum incorporates uncertainty around exact cloud persistence and any late-night rain timing, while the cluster of probabilities near 19–20% for 22–29°C captures model spread in nocturnal cooling rates. Upcoming short-range model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 40%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
98%
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 40%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
39%
26°C
$0 Wol.
40%
27°C
$0 Wol.
40%
28°C
$0 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Panama City, Panama, supporting elevated minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for September 12.**
Official and model guidance (including GFS-influenced forecasts) show typical September conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C and lows in the mid-20s °C, driven by moist air masses and the Intertropical Convergence Zone. These factors reduce the diurnal temperature range, making sub-22°C readings historically rare and currently improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the daily minimum incorporates uncertainty around exact cloud persistence and any late-night rain timing, while the cluster of probabilities near 19–20% for 22–29°C captures model spread in nocturnal cooling rates. Upcoming short-range model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Panama City, Panama, supporting elevated minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for September 12.**
Official and model guidance (including GFS-influenced forecasts) show typical September conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C and lows in the mid-20s °C, driven by moist air masses and the Intertropical Convergence Zone. These factors reduce the diurnal temperature range, making sub-22°C readings historically rare and currently improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the daily minimum incorporates uncertainty around exact cloud persistence and any late-night rain timing, while the cluster of probabilities near 19–20% for 22–29°C captures model spread in nocturnal cooling rates. Upcoming short-range model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms associated with the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Panama City, Panama, supporting elevated minimum temperatures around 24–26°C for September 12.** Official and model guidance (including GFS-influenced forecasts) show typical September conditions with daytime highs near 28–30°C and lows in the mid-20s °C, driven by moist air masses and the Intertropical Convergence Zone. These factors reduce the diurnal temperature range, making sub-22°C readings historically rare and currently improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the daily minimum incorporates uncertainty around exact cloud persistence and any late-night rain timing, while the cluster of probabilities near 19–20% for 22–29°C captures model spread in nocturnal cooling rates. Upcoming short-range model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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