Current atmospheric conditions over Munich feature persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 18°C according to GFS model runs and station observations. This aligns with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for 18°C and 29% for 19°C, as forecasters from agencies like the German Weather Service anticipate only modest warming under overcast skies rather than the seasonal average high of 20.5°C. Recent data show no significant warm advection or clear breaks that could push readings higher, while historical September 10 records indicate such mild outcomes are common outside peak heat events. Updated model guidance and real-time station reports through the afternoon will refine the final daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 68%
18°C 29%
20°C 5%
17°C 1.3%
$38,811 Wol.
$38,811 Wol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
29%
19°C
68%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 68%
18°C 29%
20°C 5%
17°C 1.3%
$38,811 Wol.
$38,811 Wol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
29%
19°C
68%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions over Munich feature persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 18°C according to GFS model runs and station observations. This aligns with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for 18°C and 29% for 19°C, as forecasters from agencies like the German Weather Service anticipate only modest warming under overcast skies rather than the seasonal average high of 20.5°C. Recent data show no significant warm advection or clear breaks that could push readings higher, while historical September 10 records indicate such mild outcomes are common outside peak heat events. Updated model guidance and real-time station reports through the afternoon will refine the final daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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