Current NWS and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F on September 12, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that support moderate radiational cooling. Model consensus shows lows near 63–66°F, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 62.9°F for the date, though minor differences in cloud cover, dew points, or wind speed among runs create uncertainty between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F buckets that dominate trader positioning. Recent observations from Central Park confirm a cooling trend after warmer early-September readings, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the National Weather Service station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 12?
76°F or higher 48%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
21%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
20%
76°F or higher
48%
76°F or higher 48%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Wol.
21%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
17%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
14%
64-65°F
$40 Wol.
28%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
32%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
17%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
20%
76°F or higher
$0 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F on September 12, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that support moderate radiational cooling. Model consensus shows lows near 63–66°F, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 62.9°F for the date, though minor differences in cloud cover, dew points, or wind speed among runs create uncertainty between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F buckets that dominate trader positioning. Recent observations from Central Park confirm a cooling trend after warmer early-September readings, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the National Weather Service station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$40Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F on September 12, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that support moderate radiational cooling. Model consensus shows lows near 63–66°F, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 62.9°F for the date, though minor differences in cloud cover, dew points, or wind speed among runs create uncertainty between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F buckets that dominate trader positioning. Recent observations from Central Park confirm a cooling trend after warmer early-September readings, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the National Weather Service station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS and ensemble forecasts for New York City indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s°F on September 12, driven by a post-frontal air mass with northerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that support moderate radiational cooling. Model consensus shows lows near 63–66°F, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 62.9°F for the date, though minor differences in cloud cover, dew points, or wind speed among runs create uncertainty between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F buckets that dominate trader positioning. Recent observations from Central Park confirm a cooling trend after warmer early-September readings, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by the National Weather Service station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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