**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** September falls in the peak of the rainy season, when persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typically cap daytime heating despite the high solar angle. Recent model runs from sources such as the Met Office and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance show afternoon peaks of 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with isolated thunderstorms possible but not expected to suppress temperatures further. Historical climatology for early September places the average high around 24–25°C, providing a baseline traders reference against current model consensus. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 27°C or above, which accounts for the 24% implied probability on that outcome. Updated official observations later today will determine the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
26°C 47%
25°C 29%
27°C or higher 24%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
29%
26°C
47%
27°C or higher
24%
26°C 47%
25°C 29%
27°C or higher 24%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
$300 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$140 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$140 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$433 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$350 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$865 Wol.
4%
25°C
$2,671 Wol.
29%
26°C
$1,619 Wol.
47%
27°C or higher
$1,952 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** September falls in the peak of the rainy season, when persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typically cap daytime heating despite the high solar angle. Recent model runs from sources such as the Met Office and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance show afternoon peaks of 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with isolated thunderstorms possible but not expected to suppress temperatures further. Historical climatology for early September places the average high around 24–25°C, providing a baseline traders reference against current model consensus. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 27°C or above, which accounts for the 24% implied probability on that outcome. Updated official observations later today will determine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,768Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** September falls in the peak of the rainy season, when persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typically cap daytime heating despite the high solar angle. Recent model runs from sources such as the Met Office and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance show afternoon peaks of 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with isolated thunderstorms possible but not expected to suppress temperatures further. Historical climatology for early September places the average high around 24–25°C, providing a baseline traders reference against current model consensus. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 27°C or above, which accounts for the 24% implied probability on that outcome. Updated official observations later today will determine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,768Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum temperature near 25–26°C in Mexico City on September 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes.** September falls in the peak of the rainy season, when persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typically cap daytime heating despite the high solar angle. Recent model runs from sources such as the Met Office and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance show afternoon peaks of 24–26°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with isolated thunderstorms possible but not expected to suppress temperatures further. Historical climatology for early September places the average high around 24–25°C, providing a baseline traders reference against current model consensus. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 27°C or above, which accounts for the 24% implied probability on that outcome. Updated official observations later today will determine the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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