Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Lucknow on September 11, with traders assigning nearly equal implied probabilities due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing during the monsoon season. High humidity near 80%, easterly winds, and an 85% chance of rain are expected to limit solar heating and cap the peak, consistent with climatological September averages around 32°C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, while any delay in precipitation or reduced cloud thickness could briefly push readings to 34°C. Official updates from the India Meteorological Department and refined short-range guidance expected overnight will likely clarify whether convective activity suppresses the high enough to favor 32°C over 33°C at resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
33°C 44%
32°C 34%
34°C 11%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
34%
33°C
44%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
32°C 34%
34°C 11%
31°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
34%
33°C
44%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Lucknow on September 11, with traders assigning nearly equal implied probabilities due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing during the monsoon season. High humidity near 80%, easterly winds, and an 85% chance of rain are expected to limit solar heating and cap the peak, consistent with climatological September averages around 32°C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, while any delay in precipitation or reduced cloud thickness could briefly push readings to 34°C. Official updates from the India Meteorological Department and refined short-range guidance expected overnight will likely clarify whether convective activity suppresses the high enough to favor 32°C over 33°C at resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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