Current numerical weather models from the GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish Meteorological Service project a high-pressure ridge over Istanbul for August 7, supporting mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow that favors afternoon highs near 28–31 °C (82–88 °F). The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty over the strength of Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically moderate peak temperatures by 1–3 °C in urban stations, versus any brief inland warming under clear conditions. Historical August maxima average 28–30 °C, with official resolution based on the highest verified reading from central Istanbul observatories. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing from the Turkish Met Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$599 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$575 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$528 Wol.
2%
27°C
$553 Wol.
13%
28°C
$1,030 Wol.
42%
29°C
$906 Wol.
38%
30°C
$389 Wol.
7%
31°C
$297 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$334 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$506 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$734 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish Meteorological Service project a high-pressure ridge over Istanbul for August 7, supporting mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow that favors afternoon highs near 28–31 °C (82–88 °F). The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty over the strength of Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically moderate peak temperatures by 1–3 °C in urban stations, versus any brief inland warming under clear conditions. Historical August maxima average 28–30 °C, with official resolution based on the highest verified reading from central Istanbul observatories. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing from the Turkish Met Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,452Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish Meteorological Service project a high-pressure ridge over Istanbul for August 7, supporting mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow that favors afternoon highs near 28–31 °C (82–88 °F). The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty over the strength of Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically moderate peak temperatures by 1–3 °C in urban stations, versus any brief inland warming under clear conditions. Historical August maxima average 28–30 °C, with official resolution based on the highest verified reading from central Istanbul observatories. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing from the Turkish Met Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,452Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from the GFS, ECMWF, and Turkish Meteorological Service project a high-pressure ridge over Istanbul for August 7, supporting mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow that favors afternoon highs near 28–31 °C (82–88 °F). The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects uncertainty over the strength of Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, which typically moderate peak temperatures by 1–3 °C in urban stations, versus any brief inland warming under clear conditions. Historical August maxima average 28–30 °C, with official resolution based on the highest verified reading from central Istanbul observatories. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing from the Turkish Met Service remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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