Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Helsinki on July 27, with model spreads centered near 19–20 °C. Southerly flow may briefly advect slightly warmer continental air, yet persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and the moderating influence of the still-cool Baltic Sea surface (around 12–14 °C) limit strong diurnal warming. Subtle differences in the timing of any frontal passage or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced among the 18–21 °C outcomes while colder or much warmer scenarios stay low-probability outliers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 27?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 27?
20°C 36%
19°C 27%
21°C 19%
18°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 27, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C
27%
20°C
36%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
5%
20°C 36%
19°C 27%
21°C 19%
18°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 27, 2026
12°C or below
$466 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$371 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$351 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$107 Wol.
1%
16°C
$63 Wol.
2%
17°C
$20 Wol.
6%
18°C
$63 Wol.
13%
19°C
$57 Wol.
27%
20°C
$76 Wol.
36%
21°C
$74 Wol.
19%
22°C or higher
$35 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Helsinki on July 27, with model spreads centered near 19–20 °C. Southerly flow may briefly advect slightly warmer continental air, yet persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and the moderating influence of the still-cool Baltic Sea surface (around 12–14 °C) limit strong diurnal warming. Subtle differences in the timing of any frontal passage or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced among the 18–21 °C outcomes while colder or much warmer scenarios stay low-probability outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,659Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Helsinki on July 27, with model spreads centered near 19–20 °C. Southerly flow may briefly advect slightly warmer continental air, yet persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and the moderating influence of the still-cool Baltic Sea surface (around 12–14 °C) limit strong diurnal warming. Subtle differences in the timing of any frontal passage or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced among the 18–21 °C outcomes while colder or much warmer scenarios stay low-probability outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,659Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Helsinki on July 27, with model spreads centered near 19–20 °C. Southerly flow may briefly advect slightly warmer continental air, yet persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and the moderating influence of the still-cool Baltic Sea surface (around 12–14 °C) limit strong diurnal warming. Subtle differences in the timing of any frontal passage or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced among the 18–21 °C outcomes while colder or much warmer scenarios stay low-probability outliers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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