Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on July 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 25?
12°C 71%
13°C 21%
11°C 10%
14°C 2%
NOWE
$33,150 Wol.
NOWE
$33,150 Wol.
Jul 25, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
10%
12°C
71%
13°C
21%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 71%
13°C 21%
11°C 10%
14°C 2%
NOWE
$33,150 Wol.
NOWE
$33,150 Wol.
Jul 25, 2026
7°C or below
$241 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$1,240 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$1,462 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$3,385 Wol.
1%
11°C
$5,971 Wol.
10%
12°C
$7,373 Wol.
71%
13°C
$5,118 Wol.
21%
14°C
$6,081 Wol.
2%
15°C
$1,486 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$463 Wol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$376 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,150Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33,150Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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