Trader consensus clusters around an 80-85°F high for Denver on August 15, with the 82-83°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 33.5 percent, reflecting tight spreads in the latest NOAA and National Weather Service short-range model guidance. Afternoon temperature will hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth, timing of any scattered convection, and residual cloud cover from a weak upstream trough, all of which produce ensemble spreads of several degrees. Mid-August climatology places the normal high near 85°F, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from slightly cooler mid-level air and drier downslope flow. New model runs tonight will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 15?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$147 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$60 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$306 Wol.
3%
78-79°F
$124 Wol.
5%
80-81°F
$30 Wol.
25%
82-83°F
$67 Wol.
34%
84-85°F
$139 Wol.
22%
86-87°F
$124 Wol.
6%
88-89°F
$75 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$102 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$81 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around an 80-85°F high for Denver on August 15, with the 82-83°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 33.5 percent, reflecting tight spreads in the latest NOAA and National Weather Service short-range model guidance. Afternoon temperature will hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth, timing of any scattered convection, and residual cloud cover from a weak upstream trough, all of which produce ensemble spreads of several degrees. Mid-August climatology places the normal high near 85°F, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from slightly cooler mid-level air and drier downslope flow. New model runs tonight will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,255Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around an 80-85°F high for Denver on August 15, with the 82-83°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 33.5 percent, reflecting tight spreads in the latest NOAA and National Weather Service short-range model guidance. Afternoon temperature will hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth, timing of any scattered convection, and residual cloud cover from a weak upstream trough, all of which produce ensemble spreads of several degrees. Mid-August climatology places the normal high near 85°F, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from slightly cooler mid-level air and drier downslope flow. New model runs tonight will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,255Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around an 80-85°F high for Denver on August 15, with the 82-83°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 33.5 percent, reflecting tight spreads in the latest NOAA and National Weather Service short-range model guidance. Afternoon temperature will hinge on boundary-layer mixing depth, timing of any scattered convection, and residual cloud cover from a weak upstream trough, all of which produce ensemble spreads of several degrees. Mid-August climatology places the normal high near 85°F, yet current guidance favors modest suppression from slightly cooler mid-level air and drier downslope flow. New model runs tonight will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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