Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on September 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 5?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
94-95°F 2%
$26,559 Wol.
$26,559 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 18%
94-95°F 2%
$26,559 Wol.
$26,559 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
85°F or below
$1,394 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$298 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$442 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$436 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,268 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,975 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$5,863 Wol.
18%
98-99°F
$5,140 Wol.
57%
100-101°F
$4,461 Wol.
24%
102-103°F
$3,647 Wol.
1%
104°F or higher
$1,636 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,559Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$26,559Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting guidance indicate sunny skies, light southerly to southeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover will drive a daily maximum near 100 °F in Dallas on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent warm-air mass and high dew points that elevate heat indices above 105 °F, well above the 1991–2020 September 5 climatological average of 92.8 °F. Recent observations show similar conditions produced a 100 °F high on September 4, reinforcing trader confidence in the upper-90s to low-100s range while acknowledging minor model spread and the possibility of slight under- or over-achievement depending on afternoon mixing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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