Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas for a sunny, hot day with a maximum temperature near 100–101°F, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that range. A strong high-pressure ridge drives subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect amplifies afternoon readings at official stations. Model consensus shows limited spread around the 99–102°F envelope, with only modest chances for 102–103°F if peak insolation aligns perfectly. Recent surface observations near 94°F and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader focus on this narrow band, though minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official high within adjacent bins before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 6?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 6?
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
NOWE
$20,474 Wol.
NOWE
$20,474 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 3%
NOWE
$20,474 Wol.
NOWE
$20,474 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
95°F or below
$2,539 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,114 Wol.
3%
98-99°F
$2,469 Wol.
28%
100-101°F
$5,903 Wol.
54%
102-103°F
$1,226 Wol.
16%
104-105°F
$2,131 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$2,057 Wol.
1%
108-109°F
$589 Wol.
<1%
110-111°F
$494 Wol.
<1%
112-113°F
$471 Wol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$481 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas for a sunny, hot day with a maximum temperature near 100–101°F, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that range. A strong high-pressure ridge drives subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect amplifies afternoon readings at official stations. Model consensus shows limited spread around the 99–102°F envelope, with only modest chances for 102–103°F if peak insolation aligns perfectly. Recent surface observations near 94°F and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader focus on this narrow band, though minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official high within adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,474Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas for a sunny, hot day with a maximum temperature near 100–101°F, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that range. A strong high-pressure ridge drives subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect amplifies afternoon readings at official stations. Model consensus shows limited spread around the 99–102°F envelope, with only modest chances for 102–103°F if peak insolation aligns perfectly. Recent surface observations near 94°F and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader focus on this narrow band, though minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official high within adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,474Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas for a sunny, hot day with a maximum temperature near 100–101°F, aligning with the market's leading 54% implied probability for that range. A strong high-pressure ridge drives subsidence warming and clear skies, while the urban heat island effect amplifies afternoon readings at official stations. Model consensus shows limited spread around the 99–102°F envelope, with only modest chances for 102–103°F if peak insolation aligns perfectly. Recent surface observations near 94°F and ongoing heat advisories reinforce trader focus on this narrow band, though minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official high within adjacent bins before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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