Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a mostly cloudy day with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, which limits afternoon heating and supports a daily high near or slightly below the 83.5°F climatological normal. Onshore flow off Lake Michigan adds a moderating influence, keeping readings cooler near the lakeshore compared with inland areas. These factors explain the market's concentration of probability in the 78–81°F range, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 6?
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
73°F or below
$140 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,343 Wol.
3%
76-77°F
$701 Wol.
21%
78-79°F
$684 Wol.
39%
80-81°F
$735 Wol.
28%
82-83°F
$1,130 Wol.
13%
84-85°F
$2,190 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$373 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$539 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$391 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$386 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a mostly cloudy day with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, which limits afternoon heating and supports a daily high near or slightly below the 83.5°F climatological normal. Onshore flow off Lake Michigan adds a moderating influence, keeping readings cooler near the lakeshore compared with inland areas. These factors explain the market's concentration of probability in the 78–81°F range, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,613Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a mostly cloudy day with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, which limits afternoon heating and supports a daily high near or slightly below the 83.5°F climatological normal. Onshore flow off Lake Michigan adds a moderating influence, keeping readings cooler near the lakeshore compared with inland areas. These factors explain the market's concentration of probability in the 78–81°F range, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,613Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance for Chicago on August 6 point to a mostly cloudy day with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, which limits afternoon heating and supports a daily high near or slightly below the 83.5°F climatological normal. Onshore flow off Lake Michigan adds a moderating influence, keeping readings cooler near the lakeshore compared with inland areas. These factors explain the market's concentration of probability in the 78–81°F range, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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