**Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C for Chengdu’s September 5 high reflects official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and aligned model guidance showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under clear to partly cloudy “autumn tiger” conditions.** National and local meteorological data indicate daytime maxima of 33–34°C across the urban basin, consistent with recent observations of 32–33°C on September 4 and early September 5 readings climbing toward 34°C amid low precipitation probability and light southerly winds. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 28–30°C, so this episode represents a notable but short-lived warm anomaly before the forecast shift to widespread rain and a sharp drop below 30°C after September 7. Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in local outlooks) supports the 34°C outcome with minimal spread at this stage, though final official verification could shift slightly if localized cooling from cloud cover or measurement site specifics alters the peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to challenge the positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$38,138 Wol.
$38,138 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$38,138 Wol.
$38,138 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,156 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,114 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$879 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,636 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,757 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$4,724 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$7,592 Wol.
100%
35°C
$6,158 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$3,846 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,409 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,868 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C for Chengdu’s September 5 high reflects official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and aligned model guidance showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under clear to partly cloudy “autumn tiger” conditions.**
National and local meteorological data indicate daytime maxima of 33–34°C across the urban basin, consistent with recent observations of 32–33°C on September 4 and early September 5 readings climbing toward 34°C amid low precipitation probability and light southerly winds. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 28–30°C, so this episode represents a notable but short-lived warm anomaly before the forecast shift to widespread rain and a sharp drop below 30°C after September 7.
Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in local outlooks) supports the 34°C outcome with minimal spread at this stage, though final official verification could shift slightly if localized cooling from cloud cover or measurement site specifics alters the peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to challenge the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,138Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C for Chengdu’s September 5 high reflects official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and aligned model guidance showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under clear to partly cloudy “autumn tiger” conditions.**
National and local meteorological data indicate daytime maxima of 33–34°C across the urban basin, consistent with recent observations of 32–33°C on September 4 and early September 5 readings climbing toward 34°C amid low precipitation probability and light southerly winds. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 28–30°C, so this episode represents a notable but short-lived warm anomaly before the forecast shift to widespread rain and a sharp drop below 30°C after September 7.
Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in local outlooks) supports the 34°C outcome with minimal spread at this stage, though final official verification could shift slightly if localized cooling from cloud cover or measurement site specifics alters the peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to challenge the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$38,138Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C for Chengdu’s September 5 high reflects official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and aligned model guidance showing peak temperatures reaching that threshold under clear to partly cloudy “autumn tiger” conditions.** National and local meteorological data indicate daytime maxima of 33–34°C across the urban basin, consistent with recent observations of 32–33°C on September 4 and early September 5 readings climbing toward 34°C amid low precipitation probability and light southerly winds. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 28–30°C, so this episode represents a notable but short-lived warm anomaly before the forecast shift to widespread rain and a sharp drop below 30°C after September 7. Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in local outlooks) supports the 34°C outcome with minimal spread at this stage, though final official verification could shift slightly if localized cooling from cloud cover or measurement site specifics alters the peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours to challenge the positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania