Recent model guidance and the impending Liqiu solar term around August 7–9 point to moderating conditions over Beijing, with official forecasts centering daytime maxima near 32–34 °C amid increasing northerly flow and possible scattered showers that limit full solar heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects can still push localized readings a degree or two above regional guidance, supporting the market’s near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind direction, while climatological data show early-August peaks occasionally reaching the mid-30s before the seasonal decline sets in. Traders are therefore weighting both the cooling trend and the potential for brief heat retention when pricing the narrow temperature bands.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
37°C 31%
36°C 29%
38°C 23%
35°C 16%
NOWE
$10,674 Wol.
NOWE
$10,674 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
16%
36°C
29%
37°C
31%
38°C
23%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 31%
36°C 29%
38°C 23%
35°C 16%
NOWE
$10,674 Wol.
NOWE
$10,674 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
$1,656 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$934 Wol.
1%
33°C
$900 Wol.
1%
34°C
$1,326 Wol.
4%
35°C
$1,396 Wol.
16%
36°C
$854 Wol.
29%
37°C
$444 Wol.
31%
38°C
$1,530 Wol.
23%
39°C
$403 Wol.
3%
40°C
$185 Wol.
1%
41°C or higher
$1,044 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and the impending Liqiu solar term around August 7–9 point to moderating conditions over Beijing, with official forecasts centering daytime maxima near 32–34 °C amid increasing northerly flow and possible scattered showers that limit full solar heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects can still push localized readings a degree or two above regional guidance, supporting the market’s near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind direction, while climatological data show early-August peaks occasionally reaching the mid-30s before the seasonal decline sets in. Traders are therefore weighting both the cooling trend and the potential for brief heat retention when pricing the narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,674Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and the impending Liqiu solar term around August 7–9 point to moderating conditions over Beijing, with official forecasts centering daytime maxima near 32–34 °C amid increasing northerly flow and possible scattered showers that limit full solar heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects can still push localized readings a degree or two above regional guidance, supporting the market’s near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind direction, while climatological data show early-August peaks occasionally reaching the mid-30s before the seasonal decline sets in. Traders are therefore weighting both the cooling trend and the potential for brief heat retention when pricing the narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,674Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and the impending Liqiu solar term around August 7–9 point to moderating conditions over Beijing, with official forecasts centering daytime maxima near 32–34 °C amid increasing northerly flow and possible scattered showers that limit full solar heating. High humidity and urban heat-island effects can still push localized readings a degree or two above regional guidance, supporting the market’s near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models reflects lingering uncertainty in exact cloud cover and wind direction, while climatological data show early-August peaks occasionally reaching the mid-30s before the seasonal decline sets in. Traders are therefore weighting both the cooling trend and the potential for brief heat retention when pricing the narrow temperature bands.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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