Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cold front will bring cooler maritime air and widespread rain to the Netherlands by September 9, suppressing daytime maxima below the early-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official guidance points to highs of 17–19°C under cloudy skies and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, with precipitation likely reducing solar heating and limiting any brief afternoon warming. Historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups in early September show peak temperatures clustering around 18°C at Schiphol, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
18°C 45%
17°C 21%
19°C 9%
16°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
21%
18°C
45%
19°C
19%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 45%
17°C 21%
19°C 9%
16°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
13°C
$0 Wol.
2%
14°C
$0 Wol.
3%
15°C
$6 Wol.
5%
16°C
$5 Wol.
8%
17°C
$36 Wol.
21%
18°C
$195 Wol.
45%
19°C
$33 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
7%
21°C
$0 Wol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cold front will bring cooler maritime air and widespread rain to the Netherlands by September 9, suppressing daytime maxima below the early-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official guidance points to highs of 17–19°C under cloudy skies and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, with precipitation likely reducing solar heating and limiting any brief afternoon warming. Historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups in early September show peak temperatures clustering around 18°C at Schiphol, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$276Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cold front will bring cooler maritime air and widespread rain to the Netherlands by September 9, suppressing daytime maxima below the early-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official guidance points to highs of 17–19°C under cloudy skies and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, with precipitation likely reducing solar heating and limiting any brief afternoon warming. Historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups in early September show peak temperatures clustering around 18°C at Schiphol, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$276Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cold front will bring cooler maritime air and widespread rain to the Netherlands by September 9, suppressing daytime maxima below the early-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Official guidance points to highs of 17–19°C under cloudy skies and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, with precipitation likely reducing solar heating and limiting any brief afternoon warming. Historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups in early September show peak temperatures clustering around 18°C at Schiphol, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus while allowing modest probability for slight model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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