Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under sunny intervals and a gentle breeze, driving the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus favors moderate daytime heating amid stable high pressure, with light winds limiting mixing and the North Sea exerting a cooling influence that caps peaks below 24°C. The tight spread between 22°C (44.5%) and 23°C (35.5%) reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon insolation and any minor frontal timing shifts, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with climatological baselines around 21–22°C for early August. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify exact peak readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 7?
22°C 45%
23°C 36%
21°C 13%
24°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
45%
23°C
36%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 36%
21°C 13%
24°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
19°C or below
$133 Wol.
1%
20°C
$87 Wol.
3%
21°C
$889 Wol.
13%
22°C
$395 Wol.
45%
23°C
$977 Wol.
36%
24°C
$294 Wol.
10%
25°C
$360 Wol.
2%
26°C
$42 Wol.
1%
27°C
$678 Wol.
1%
28°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$527 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under sunny intervals and a gentle breeze, driving the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus favors moderate daytime heating amid stable high pressure, with light winds limiting mixing and the North Sea exerting a cooling influence that caps peaks below 24°C. The tight spread between 22°C (44.5%) and 23°C (35.5%) reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon insolation and any minor frontal timing shifts, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with climatological baselines around 21–22°C for early August. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify exact peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,211Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under sunny intervals and a gentle breeze, driving the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus favors moderate daytime heating amid stable high pressure, with light winds limiting mixing and the North Sea exerting a cooling influence that caps peaks below 24°C. The tight spread between 22°C (44.5%) and 23°C (35.5%) reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon insolation and any minor frontal timing shifts, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with climatological baselines around 21–22°C for early August. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify exact peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,211Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 7 under sunny intervals and a gentle breeze, driving the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus favors moderate daytime heating amid stable high pressure, with light winds limiting mixing and the North Sea exerting a cooling influence that caps peaks below 24°C. The tight spread between 22°C (44.5%) and 23°C (35.5%) reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon insolation and any minor frontal timing shifts, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below align with climatological baselines around 21–22°C for early August. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify exact peak readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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