**Alabama Senate Election: Turnout** Trader pricing clusters around 1.5–1.7 million total votes because Alabama’s 2026 primaries showed persistently low participation—10.7% in the June runoff and 23% in the May primary—setting a baseline for a low-salience midterm general election. With Republican Barry Moore holding a double-digit lead over Democrat Everett Wess in limited polling and the seat rated safe Republican after Tommy Tuberville’s departure, the contest lacks the intensity that typically drives higher turnout. Alabama’s roughly 3.6 million registered voters have produced comparable midterm totals in prior cycles, but weak Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive down-ballot races reinforce expectations of middling mobilization. Modest shifts in Republican base enthusiasm or Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of November 3 remain the main variables that could move the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.5M-1.6M 32%
1.6M-1.7M 20.6%
1.4M-1.5M 20%
1.2M-1.3M 8.8%
<1.2M
6%
1.2M-1.3M
9%
1.3M-1.4M
8%
1.4M-1.5M
20%
1.5M-1.6M
32%
1.6M-1.7M
20%
1.7M-1.8M
3%
1.8M+
4%
1.5M-1.6M 32%
1.6M-1.7M 20.6%
1.4M-1.5M 20%
1.2M-1.3M 8.8%
<1.2M
6%
1.2M-1.3M
9%
1.3M-1.4M
8%
1.4M-1.5M
20%
1.5M-1.6M
32%
1.6M-1.7M
20%
1.7M-1.8M
3%
1.8M+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Alabama Senate Election: Turnout** Trader pricing clusters around 1.5–1.7 million total votes because Alabama’s 2026 primaries showed persistently low participation—10.7% in the June runoff and 23% in the May primary—setting a baseline for a low-salience midterm general election. With Republican Barry Moore holding a double-digit lead over Democrat Everett Wess in limited polling and the seat rated safe Republican after Tommy Tuberville’s departure, the contest lacks the intensity that typically drives higher turnout. Alabama’s roughly 3.6 million registered voters have produced comparable midterm totals in prior cycles, but weak Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive down-ballot races reinforce expectations of middling mobilization. Modest shifts in Republican base enthusiasm or Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of November 3 remain the main variables that could move the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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