Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/07
↑ $4,350
50%
↑ 4,300ドル
50%
↑ $4,250
50%
↑ $4,200
50%
↑ $4,150
50%
↑ $4,100
69%
↑ 4,050ドル
74%
↓ 4,000ドル
74%
↓ $3,950
59%
↓ $3,900
50%
↓ 3,850ドル
50%
↓ $3,800
50%
↓ 3,750ドル
50%
↓ $3,700
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4,350
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 4,300ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,250
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,200
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,150
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4,100
$0 Vol.
69%
↑ 4,050ドル
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ 4,000ドル
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $3,950
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ $3,900
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 3,850ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $3,800
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 3,750ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $3,700
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRecent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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