**US Dollar Index (DXY) trading near 99.0–99.2 in early September 2026 faces immediate pressure from the August CPI release on September 11 and the FOMC decision on September 16.** Recent nonfarm payrolls showed contraction, with July figures revised lower, while headline CPI eased to 3.4% year-over-year in July and core measures remained around 2.5%. Markets price roughly even odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September meeting, reflecting Chair Warsh’s hawkish tone on inflation targets alongside divided dot-plot projections. Treasury yields and relative rate differentials continue to anchor the dollar, with any hotter-than-expected CPI or firm retail sales data likely reinforcing yield support, while softer prints could accelerate repricing toward cuts and weigh on the index.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ 100.40
48%
↑ 100.20
48%
↑ 100.00
48%
↑ 99.80
48%
↑ 99.60
48%
↑ 99.40
48%
↑ 99.20
50%
↓ 99.00
48%
↓ 98.80
48%
↓ 98.60
48%
↓ 98.40
48%
↓ 98.20
48%
↓ 98.00
48%
↓ 97.80
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 100.40
48%
↑ 100.20
48%
↑ 100.00
48%
↑ 99.80
48%
↑ 99.60
48%
↑ 99.40
48%
↑ 99.20
50%
↓ 99.00
48%
↓ 98.80
48%
↓ 98.60
48%
↓ 98.40
48%
↓ 98.20
48%
↓ 98.00
48%
↓ 97.80
50%
Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. Under the standard schedule, the week of September 7 2026 consists of the Monday through Friday trading days beginning at 5:00:00 PM ET on the Sunday immediately preceding September 7 2026 and ending at 5:00:00 PM ET on the following Friday.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00:00 PM ET on the prior calendar day and ends at 5:00:00 PM ET on that calendar day. Under the standard schedule, the week of September 7 2026 consists of the Monday through Friday trading days beginning at 5:00:00 PM ET on the Sunday immediately preceding September 7 2026 and ending at 5:00:00 PM ET on the following Friday.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of an index methodology change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the US Dollar Index (DXY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore/FX.USDXY, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high and low prices published by ICE Futures U.S. for the most actively traded (by open interest) ICE U.S. Dollar Index futures contract (ticker DX) as of the relevant business day may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Official daily high and low prices are the values shown in the "High" and "Low" columns of the ICE Futures U.S. "Futures Daily Market Report for US Dollar Index" for the relevant contract month on each relevant trading day. This report may be accessed by selecting "End of Day Report" under the "Reports" tab of the product page at https://www.ice.com/products/194/US-Dollar-Index-Futures.
**US Dollar Index (DXY) trading near 99.0–99.2 in early September 2026 faces immediate pressure from the August CPI release on September 11 and the FOMC decision on September 16.** Recent nonfarm payrolls showed contraction, with July figures revised lower, while headline CPI eased to 3.4% year-over-year in July and core measures remained around 2.5%. Markets price roughly even odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September meeting, reflecting Chair Warsh’s hawkish tone on inflation targets alongside divided dot-plot projections. Treasury yields and relative rate differentials continue to anchor the dollar, with any hotter-than-expected CPI or firm retail sales data likely reinforcing yield support, while softer prints could accelerate repricing toward cuts and weigh on the index.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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