Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,037 Vol.
$27,037 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$27,037 Vol.
$27,037 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$21,614 Vol.
96%
民主党
$5,423 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$27,037終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,037終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger faces Democratic nominee Kristi Burke and several independents in Tennessee’s 1st Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district’s R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 29-point Trump win in 2024, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a Republican victory. Harshbarger advanced unopposed through the August 6 Republican primary following mid-decade redistricting that left the seat’s boundaries largely intact. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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