**Tech layoffs in 2026 are on pace to exceed 2025 totals by a wide margin, with year-to-date figures already reaching 150,000–184,000 impacted workers across major trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—roughly matching or surpassing full-year 2025 counts of 122,000–154,000.** The dominant driver is AI adoption, as companies including Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Cisco, and Salesforce cite large language models and automation for productivity gains that reduce headcount in software engineering, support, and operations roles. This shift follows 2025's post-pandemic adjustments and has accelerated in 2026, with reports noting a 66% rise in tech cuts versus the prior year and hiring managers expecting AI as a top layoff factor. Ongoing restructuring at scale, rather than isolated events, underpins trader consensus for an "Up" outcome at 90% implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include further earnings calls and efficiency announcements through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日増加
$25,394 Vol.
$25,394 Vol.
2027/02/28
増加
$25,394 Vol.
$25,394 Vol.
2027/02/28
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Tech layoffs in 2026 are on pace to exceed 2025 totals by a wide margin, with year-to-date figures already reaching 150,000–184,000 impacted workers across major trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—roughly matching or surpassing full-year 2025 counts of 122,000–154,000.**
The dominant driver is AI adoption, as companies including Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Cisco, and Salesforce cite large language models and automation for productivity gains that reduce headcount in software engineering, support, and operations roles. This shift follows 2025's post-pandemic adjustments and has accelerated in 2026, with reports noting a 66% rise in tech cuts versus the prior year and hiring managers expecting AI as a top layoff factor. Ongoing restructuring at scale, rather than isolated events, underpins trader consensus for an "Up" outcome at 90% implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include further earnings calls and efficiency announcements through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$25,394終了日
2027/02/28マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Tech layoffs in 2026 are on pace to exceed 2025 totals by a wide margin, with year-to-date figures already reaching 150,000–184,000 impacted workers across major trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—roughly matching or surpassing full-year 2025 counts of 122,000–154,000.**
The dominant driver is AI adoption, as companies including Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Cisco, and Salesforce cite large language models and automation for productivity gains that reduce headcount in software engineering, support, and operations roles. This shift follows 2025's post-pandemic adjustments and has accelerated in 2026, with reports noting a 66% rise in tech cuts versus the prior year and hiring managers expecting AI as a top layoff factor. Ongoing restructuring at scale, rather than isolated events, underpins trader consensus for an "Up" outcome at 90% implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include further earnings calls and efficiency announcements through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$25,394終了日
2027/02/28マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Tech layoffs in 2026 are on pace to exceed 2025 totals by a wide margin, with year-to-date figures already reaching 150,000–184,000 impacted workers across major trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi—roughly matching or surpassing full-year 2025 counts of 122,000–154,000.** The dominant driver is AI adoption, as companies including Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Cisco, and Salesforce cite large language models and automation for productivity gains that reduce headcount in software engineering, support, and operations roles. This shift follows 2025's post-pandemic adjustments and has accelerated in 2026, with reports noting a 66% rise in tech cuts versus the prior year and hiring managers expecting AI as a top layoff factor. Ongoing restructuring at scale, rather than isolated events, underpins trader consensus for an "Up" outcome at 90% implied probability. Key near-term catalysts include further earnings calls and efficiency announcements through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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