Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」オープニングデイ・ボックスオフィス（ハイストライク）
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」オープニングデイ・ボックスオフィス（ハイストライク）
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル 65%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル 55%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル 50%
152-157百万ドル 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
2026/07/31
1億5200万ドル未満
3%
152-157百万ドル
48%
1億5700万～1億6200万ドル
12%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル
55%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル
50%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル
65%
1億7700万～1億8200万ドル
11%
1億8200万ドル以上
11%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル 65%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル 55%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル 50%
152-157百万ドル 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
2026/07/31
1億5200万ドル未満
$10 Vol.
3%
152-157百万ドル
$0 Vol.
48%
1億5700万～1億6200万ドル
$0 Vol.
12%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル
$100 Vol.
55%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル
$0 Vol.
65%
1億7700万～1億8200万ドル
$0 Vol.
11%
1億8200万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
音量
$110終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$110終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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