Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
1億8000万～1億9000万 10%
190-200m 5%
2億1千万～2億2千万 2.0%
$17,477 Vol.
$17,477 Vol.
2026/08/09
<180m
86%
1億8000万～1億9000万
10%
190-200m
5%
2億〜2億1千万
2%
2億1千万～2億2千万
2%
2億2千万以上
2%
<180m 86%
1億8000万～1億9000万 10%
190-200m 5%
2億1千万～2億2千万 2.0%
$17,477 Vol.
$17,477 Vol.
2026/08/09
<180m
$10,045 Vol.
86%
1億8000万～1億9000万
$1,091 Vol.
10%
190-200m
$1,380 Vol.
5%
2億〜2億1千万
$1,061 Vol.
2%
2億1千万～2億2千万
$1,282 Vol.
2%
2億2千万以上
$2,617 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$17,477終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$17,477終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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